Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-09-29 0.001414 0.001506 0.001601 0.001706 0.001819 0.001938 0.002072
2024-10-06 0.001278 0.001403 0.001536 0.001690 0.001863 0.002051 0.002271
2024-10-13 0.001187 0.001334 0.001497 0.001689 0.001912 0.002162 0.002466
2024-10-20 0.001095 0.001255 0.001435 0.001654 0.001915 0.002215 0.002590
2024-10-27 0.001035 0.001207 0.001404 0.001649 0.001947 0.002299 0.002751
2024-11-03 0.000956 0.001131 0.001336 0.001594 0.001913 0.002299 0.002805
2024-11-10 0.000924 0.001108 0.001327 0.001608 0.001964 0.002402 0.002989
2024-11-17 0.000881 0.001069 0.001297 0.001593 0.001975 0.002453 0.003108
2024-11-24 0.000856 0.001052 0.001291 0.001608 0.002022 0.002551 0.003290
2024-12-01 0.000815 0.001011 0.001254 0.001580 0.002012 0.002574 0.003371
2024-12-08 0.000782 0.000980 0.001228 0.001565 0.002018 0.002615 0.003478
2024-12-15 0.000752 0.000950 0.001201 0.001547 0.002019 0.002650 0.003575
2024-12-22 0.000727 0.000929 0.001188 0.001550 0.002051 0.002734 0.003756
2024-12-29 0.000698 0.000901 0.001164 0.001538 0.002063 0.002789 0.003898
2025-01-05 0.000675 0.000880 0.001150 0.001537 0.002090 0.002868 0.004078
2025-01-12 0.000644 0.000846 0.001115 0.001507 0.002073 0.002881 0.004159
2025-01-19 0.000623 0.000827 0.001100 0.001502 0.002092 0.002947 0.004325
2025-01-26 0.000589 0.000786 0.001054 0.001452 0.002043 0.002909 0.004325
2025-02-02 0.000577 0.000778 0.001053 0.001466 0.002087 0.003013 0.004553
2025-02-09 0.000558 0.000757 0.001033 0.001452 0.002090 0.003053 0.004681
2025-02-16 0.000548 0.000750 0.001032 0.001465 0.002133 0.003157 0.004918
2025-02-23 0.000527 0.000726 0.001006 0.001440 0.002116 0.003166 0.004996
2025-03-02 0.000511 0.000708 0.000988 0.001427 0.002117 0.003202 0.005122